Science Journal Set To Retract Paper Linking Climate Change Scepticism To Conspiracy Theorists After Sceptics Shout Libel

Thu, 2014-03-20 19:42Graham Readfearn
Graham Readfearn's picture

Science Journal Set To Retract Paper Linking Climate Change Scepticism To Conspiracy Theorists After Sceptics Shout Libel

A psychology journal is said to be preparing to retract a scientific paper that found a link between conspiratorial thinking and the rejection of global warming science after climate sceptics claimed the paper was defamatory.

DeSmogBlog has learned the paper's four authors, led by Professor Stephan Lewandowsky, the chair of cognitive psychology at the University of Bristol, have signed gagging orders preventing them from discussing the nature of the complaints about their work, carried out when Lewandowsky was a professor at the University of Western Australia.

News of an alleged pending retraction, by the Switzerland-based journal Frontiers in Psychology, has leaked onto climate sceptic blogs but the journal is yet to make a formal announcement.

But DeSmogBlog can reveal that Freedom of Information documents obtained last June but revealed here for the first time show that climate sceptics complained that the work was defamatory.

The FOI covers complaints sent to Perth-based UWA and also to Frontiers related to the disputed paper Recursive fury: Conspiracist ideation in the blogosphere in response to research on conspiracist ideation.

Lewandowsky’s research has been subjected to a litany of complaints and Freedom of Information requests, mainly from climate science “sceptics”.

Retractions of academic research in peer-reviewed publications are rare events.

Speaking to DeSmogBlog, Lewandowsky said because the reports had come from sources which relied on information “not in the public domain” he did not wish to comment. But he added: 

I can confidently say that the University of Western Australia has not upheld any complaints against me from any party on any matter whatsoever. Beyond that, I cannot go into specifics.

DeSmogBlog has contacted the journal for clarification but understands from other sources that at this stage, a retraction is imminent. The uncertainty around the Recursive Fury paper is the latest twist in a scientific saga which stretches back to mid-2010.

Four year saga 

As reported on DeSmogBlog, in May 2012 research by Lewandowsky and his team at the University of Western Australia was published in the journal Psychological Science.

The research reported that rejection of the science of human-caused climate change was linked to the acceptance of conspiracy theories such as NASA faking the moon landing.

Lewandowsky's research team analysed answers to surveys posted on climate blogs during 2010. While five “sceptical” blogs were approached to host the survey, none accepted the invitation.

The publication prompted climate sceptics to launch a flood of commentary and issue complaints to the journal and to UWA.

The university received several Freedom of Information requests asking for correspondence relating to the research. Several sceptics called for for investigations to be carried out and complained that researchers did not have proper “ethics” approvals for the study.

FOI documents previously released show the complaints about ethics approvals were “baseless” and that Lewandowsky had carefully followed ethics guidelines.

After the research was published, a large number of “sceptic” bloggers and commentators came up with their own conspiracy theories relating to the way the research had been carried out.

Some suggested Lewandowsky had “faked” a claim that he had approached skeptic blogs, when FOI documents show the approaches to sceptics. There were claims that “warmists” had “scammed” the surveys providing answers that would make sceptics look bad.

Others claimed that the results of the survey had been “pre-ordained”. Lewandowsky and co-author Klaus Oberauer explained how even when outlier data was removed, the central finding of the paper held.

Canada-based mining industry veteran and Climate Audit blogger Steven McIntyre, also complained to Psychological Science, questioning whether the research had been carried out with adequate ethics approval. McIntyre encouraged people to complain to UWA and posted on a blog site the email addresses of the university’s Deputy Vice-Chancellor Robyn Owens.

UWA investigated and told Psychological Science the “research … was conducted in compliance with all applicable ethical guidelines”, and that complaints on these grounds were baseless.

More evidence

The flurry of conspiratorial responses on climate blogs appeared to be further evidence of the link Lewandowsky had found between “conspiracist ideation” and the rejection of climate science. To see of this was the case, Lewandowsky led another study analysing the online response to his Psychological Science study.

The researchers looked at 69 responses posted on 10 skeptic blogs, including Climate Audit run by Steve McIntyre, Marc Morano’s Climate Depot and blogs managed by Anthony Watts and Australian Joanne Nova.

This “Recursive Fury” research was submitted to the journal Frontiers in Psychology in early 2013 and was published online in March 18 of that year. The authors wrote:

Using established criteria to identify conspiracist ideation, we show that many of the hypotheses exhibited conspiratorial content and counterfactual thinking.

As well as identifying the blogs, the research also identified comments by individuals that were categorised as exhibiting certain styles of thought, such as “nefarious intent” and “unreflexive counterfactual thinking”.

But after several complaints from climate sceptics the journal had removed the paper by the end of the month. The journal said at the time: “Given the nature of some of these complaints, Frontiers has provisionally removed the link to the article while these issues are investigated.”

The research was viewed more than 30,000 times before the paper was removed from the publisher’s website.

Seperately, Lewandowsky led another study, published in the journal PLOS ONE in October 2013, which also found a link between acceptance of conspiracy theories and the rejection of the science of human-caused climate change. 

This study used a different method to gather the data – a survey of 1000 Americans – but, as I wrote on The Guardian, the study found near identical results.

Some complainants had suggested that because Lewandowsky had been “hostile” towards them in blog posts, this constituted a conflict of interest.

The FOI documents also show that by early May, UWA had at that stage already looked at many aspects of the complaints and dismissed them. 

An email from Frontiers to UWA on May 2013 states: “Many thanks for your message and the letter informing us of UWA's decision that no breach of the Australian Code for Responsible Research occured in the research leading to the article known as 'Recursive Fury', and the recommendations concerning conflicts of interest.”

Gagging orders hide libel threats

While DeSmogBlog understands the authors of the paper have signed confidentiality agreements preventing them from discussing the nature of the complaints, FOI documents and pre-existing blog posts show how the journal was facing accusations that the paper was defamatory.

One blogger, Geoff Chambers, wrote to Frontiers asking that the paper be withdrawn because it was defamatory towards him.

In FOI documents another climate sceptic blogger forwards a complaint they had made to the Frontiers journal. The complaint said: “I have sought legal advice which has confirmed that, as long as a reasonable number of blog readers are aware of my true identity and professional reputation (which is the case), I could potentially have a defamation action against the authors and publishers of this paper for an outright lie that was told about me.”

Later in the letter, the blogger added: “I hope that you will see that this was a clear case of quote falsification, academic misconduct and defamation and that the paper will now be permanently withdrawn.”

In two complaints, Steve McIntyre wrote that the paper had identified him as exhibiting “six aspects of conspiracist ideation”, a characterisation which he disagreed with, and that the authors had not been given ethics approval for the recursive study.

At one point, McIntyre complains that blog posts written by Lewandowsky were “stimuli” and that he was an unwitting participant in an experiment.

Writing on the Watts Up With That blog, McIntyre said earlier today:

The Lewandowsky article made a variety of defamatory and untrue allegations against me with malice. I accordingly sent a strongly worded and detailed letter to the journal formally requesting that they withdraw the allegations and retract the article. I didn’t “instigate a libel lawsuit” or get “a lawyer involved” but the letter was a formal one. It was my hope that the journal would recognize the many defects of the Lewandowsky article and behave responsibly, as they eventually did.

DeSmogBlog has asked Frontiers for clarification on the status of the study.

In McIntyre's complaint letters (seen as item numbers 95 and 99 on the FOI document release), the Canadian blogger uses quotes hacked from a private forum of the Skeptical Science, founded University of Queensland academic John Cook and co-author on the Recursive study.

McIntyre cites the quotes in an attempt to demonstrate “malice” against him, even though none of those quotes were written by any of the authors of the paper.

The University of Western Australia's Deputy Vice-Chancellor Robyn Owens said she had no comment to make at this stage. 

AttachmentSize
Recursive FOI complaints.pdf15.87 MB

Previous Comments

“Climate alarmism is indeed a creation of state-funded climate science.    Do you seriously deny this?”

What you call “alarmism” is the FACT that AGW is occuring, and is already costing more in property damage across the world than any new climate taxes could ever hope to make up for.

Governments fund institutions (e.g. universities) that allocate budgets to faculties, which allocate funds to departments who in the end fund research into climate change. Big deal.

It's like saying that the concern (i.e. “alarmism”) over the obesity epidemic in North America is a creation of state-funded epidemiological science. In other words, that any scientific findings are a result of self interest (and therefore presumably invalid?) merely because some or all of the funding can eventually be traced back to government funded institutions.

Since most scientific research is government funded to some degree, this argument renders most scientific research invalid due to self-interest.


No, that notion that AGW has been anything like conclusively measured is pure fiction - largely pushed by alarmists with a politicizing/totalitarian agenda.  All we really have is models.  There is much uncertainty, which if anything is actually growing  (climate science being very young still). The atmosphere for example - where we do have reasonable measurents -  has not warmed for almost 20 years;  and data on the oceans is very far from robust indeed.
Look, AGW may well turn out to be serious;  or it may not. Time alone will tell.

The point about state funding of climate science - as opposed to say obesity oe mathematics - is that the state has a monmental vested interest in a specific outcome.   It has a huge incentive to sell CAGW (C= catastrophic), since if this comes to be widely believed, it can then expand its empire by imposing new taxes and social controls.   There is no similar vested interest in eg obesity. 

The situation with state-funded climate science,  is very much like tobacco-funded research on smoking  - the funder has every reason to be biased.




  

Your conspiracy theory is exactly what's described in the papers.

AGW is in fact conclusively measured. Not sure which science journals you are reading (perhaps the ones in the waiting room at the Heartland Institute?). The climate has indeed been warming over the past 20 years, according to all the most trusted reporting agencies. Nine of the warmest years on record have ocurred since 1998. It has just not warmed as rapidly as in previous decades. AGW is on par with evolution as a widely accepted scientific theory.

I guess you missed what I wrote in my previous post. AGW is already catastrophic. Insurance companies at least know this. There has been already catastrophic property damage due to climate change in various locals around the world. No government conspiracy is needed. Governments have never had a problem instituting or raising taxes or social controls, they certainly don't need to scare people about climate change. So this objection doesn't make sense.

And you still don't get the point that most climate science is funded very tangentially and indirectly by governments. Governments have little say over specific research projects going on at, say, universities.

Some governments (Norway, Denmark, Mexico) have sugar or soda taxes. New York state has been considering such a tax for a while. No conspiracy, just some governments feel a soda tax is more cost effective than treating health care costs of sugar-related ilnesses like diabetes. In fact, Denmark has recently announced they will abolish their sugar tax. So much for government conspiracies.

 

The really big impact is the coal-fired electric plants China and India are poised to build. We must persuade them to use nuclear power. If they do not we are facing loss of half of our littoral property in this century. They will lose half of theirs too which, in terms of deaths per population will be unimaginably brutal, beyond the nightmares of Stalin, Mao, Pol Pot, or Hitler.

Can we stand by and watch this happen because we're too cowardly to do anything about it?

Graham, I'm interested in the latest from McIntyre, where he purports to show – in detail – that Stephen basically provided his own 'inquiry' and that the university was not rigorous as Stephen represented. Curious as to your take. Hard to argue, though, with what McIntyre shows as Stephen's and the universty's actual emails.

http://climateaudit.org/2014/03/24/lewandowsky-ghost-wrote-conclusions-o...

Perhaps we should move on and not try to defend Stephen as such? Makes us look a bit naive?

I have been harassed, stalked, had my name and address outed, my wife threatened, and my personal safety and job security threatened by these people. They are in fact sadistic and apt to threaten violence or whatever other sanction they feel they have to make threats with.

I am currently getting ready to report a nest of them to the authorities in Britain and the US, in five states. I haven't found if there are any in NZ or Oz, but I'm sure when I'm done digging there will be.

If you think this is amusing or overblown, I beg you to reconsider how you'd feel if it were happening to you.

Just so we're all clear that this is happening all the time.

Don't believe it's happening to someone else. It's happening to us. Do something about it.

for linking this article. Gee, guess there's a lot of whiny lying sadistic Libertarians.

Here are the three links:

http://cosmoquest.org/forum/showthread.php?150290-Libertarians-are-sadis...

http://www.thescienceforum.com/showthread.php?t=43110

(TheScienceforum.com has attempted to pretend the article that links back here does not exist)

http://www.scienceforums.net/topic/82423-libertarians-are-whiners-and-sa...

I think that this is further proof of the original scientific research. I think the scientists should write a further article on the continuing shenanigans of the deniers and include a write up on the cowardly editors of the Swiss psychology journal and their excuses for trying to censor the article.

Remember Phil Plait's Bad Astronomy?

Yep, they've been taken over too:

http://cosmoquest.org/forum/showthread.php?150290-Libertarians-are-sadis...

This stuff is dynamite. If you wanna know if they're Libertardians, post these articles (this one on DeSmogBlog and its companion on Pharyngula) and you will get banned if they're Lying Libertardians.

for linking this article.

This article is the Litmus Test. Liberals are OK with it. Libertardians are not.

Sweet, another great DeSmogBlog article.

 

I have been kicked off PZ Myers' site for linking and insisting on the reality of this article. It's time for PZ to be challenged for lying about science, represented by this article.

PZ is a liar, and a coward, for not supporting the data shown in this article. This needs to be repeated until he acknowledges he is lying about reality and about the needs of real research. It's time for liars to be disgraced and reality to determine real policy.

The amazing part is I got kicked off Pharyngula for posting their article on science forums!

I mean really, Pharyngula is climate cranks?

Outrageous!

Totally unreal. It's like posting on an astronomy site, and being told the Moon doesn't rotate around the Earth!

And don't laugh, the guys on Bad Astronomy and the Universe Today forum kicked me off for saying so!!!

The whiners and liars are ubiquitous.

is insulting to sufferers of Down's Syndrome.

It seems that everyone has some sort of complaint about calling idiots idiots. I am becoming rapidly less concerned about the opinions of idiots.

and the article in question is on PLOS One, published last Oct 14th, and I don't think they're going to pull it down.

and has now published the article and given it an airing. Scienceforum.net is the honest forum, and they made an honest mistake and have allowed it to be corrected. I'm sure they've learned something.

Too bad nobody else is honest and forthright.

These are the facts of the matter:

CO2 is a “trace gas” in air, insignificant by definition. It absorbs 1/7th as much IR, heat energy, from sunlight as water vapor which has 188 times as many molecules capturing 1200 times as much heat making 99.9% of all “global warming.” CO2 does only 0.1% of it. For this we should destroy our economy?

The Medieval Warming from 800 AD to 1300 AD Micheal Mann erased to make his “hockey stick” was several degrees warmer than anything “global warmers” fear. It was 500 years of great abundance and peace for the world.

The Vostock Ice Core data analysis show CO2 increases follow temperature increases by 800 years 19 times in 450,000 years. That makes temperature change cause and CO2 change effect; not the other way around.  This alone refutes the anthropogenic global warming concept.

Carbon combustion generates 80% of our energy. Control and taxing of carbon would give the elected ruling class more power and money than anything since the Magna Carta of 1215 AD.

Most scientists and science educators work for tax supported institutions eager to help government raise more money for them. And, they love being seen as “saving the planet.”

Google “Two Minute Conservative,” http://adrianvance.blogspot.com  When you speak fine ladies will swoon and liberal gentlemen will weep.

Is a misrepresentation.

It doesn't matter if CO2 is a trace gas.

You're lying again.

Schneibster:

It does matter very much as too many scientists have lied and

sold out for money, $106 billion so far as I can trace and it is

surely more, maybe much more.

That a gas is a “trace” means we can forget about it in matters

concerning the physics of the atmosphere.  It is just that simple.

 
[x]

There is no better way to describe self-appointed climate auditor Steve McIntyre than ‘determined’. Highly determined even.

And you would have to be pretty obstinate to try and poke holes in peer-reviewed climate science given that McIntyre claims he does not receive a salary signed by Big Oil. As author of the sceptic blog Climate Audit, all of McIntyre’s work is funded on his own dime.

Of course, his hotel accommodation while in London this August, where our interview was conducted,...

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