Global warming and Hurricance Dean: what we can and can't say

Tue, 2007-08-21 09:21Emily Murgatroyd
Emily Murgatroyd's picture

Global warming and Hurricance Dean: what we can and can't say

Well-known author and blogger Chris Mooney has written a great post on what we can say about Hurricane Dean as it relates to global warming. This post will be especially helpful for media when the inevitable discussion of hurricanes and global warming pops up in the wake of Hurricane Dean.

So what can we say? As Chris explains, “It's complicated.”

Here's some key records Hurricane Dean broke:

  • With a minimum central pressure of 906 millibars, Dean was the ninth most intense hurricane ever observed in the Atlantic basin (for comparison Hurricane Katrina's minimum pressure was 902 millibars).

  • That 906 millibar pressure reading was at landfall, making Dean the third most intense landfalling hurricane known in the Atlantic region and the first Category 5 storm at landfall since 1992's Hurricane Andrew.

  • When measured by minimum pressure, six of the ten most intense Atlantic hurricanes–Wilma, Rita, Katrina, Mitch, Dean, and Ivan–have occurred in the past ten years.

For an in-depth look at hurricanes and global warming check out Mooney's new book Storm World.


I’d just like to mention to any desmog readers out there that I just listened to a good interview with Chris Mooney on He really seems like a bright guy and very nuanced in his understanding of the global warming debate.

The thing that interested me was a quote from the interviewer saying “…you really communicate [to non-scientific readers] the nature of scientific debate…” it seems that all of us laypeople, and scientists too, are engaged in a “he said, she said” sort of argument, relying on secondhand information and not always getting the bigger picture. It’s on that basis that I’m going to go out and read that book.


Companies like Shell Oil really need to give their eyes a rub and see that a world with serious constraints on greenhouse gas emissions is not a possible future, but an eventual reality.

Right now, oil companies are investing billions in long term plays in very carbon intensive fuels, like Canada's oil sands, while at the same time there are more and more signs that strict regulations on such operations are on the near horizon.

You don't need to look much further than...

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