Junk Science: Steve M'Lie Sticks to His Script

Sat, 2008-07-19 09:21Richard Littlemore
Richard Littlemore's picture

Junk Science: Steve M'Lie Sticks to His Script

Regardless of the clear evidence that he had posted inaccurate information on his website (see next post), Junk Science purveyor Steven Milloy, has jumped straight over the “apology and correction” step, moving directly from inaccuracy to insult.

The facts of this case appear pretty clear: a newsletter of the American Physical Society announced that it would “kick off a debate” about global warming, and it included, as an opening gambit, an article from British journalist, entrepreneur and failed political candidate Christopher Walter, the Third Viscount Monckton of Brenchley.

Milloy and his denier cronies chose to interpret this as a peer-reviewed science article and characterized the newsletter “debate” as a declaration that “there is no scientific consensus that humans are causing global warming.”

When the APS, in language appropriately restrained, posted a clarification on its site, drawing reader attention to the consensus statement that still represents the collective view of American physicists, Milloy, rather than apologizing, accused APS President Arthur Bienenstock of cowardice in the face of political controversy, and suggested that the APS is on the verge of a Nazi purge of those who disagree with the majority view (“Nacht der langen Messer,” in M'Lie's words).

This entire debacle is a classic example of the desperate efforts that oily organizations like Junk Science and the Heartland Institute to sow doubt about the science of climate change. Monckton is no expert and everyone who has ever read his confused “scientific” screeds would recognize that fact, even without checking on his educational background. (He holds a diploma in Journalism.)

Yet Milloy, who has made it clear that he will spin the truth for any environmentally questionable corporation, lauds Monckton and derides the professional physicists - the top physicists in the country and, in all likelihood, the world. And yet, when Fox News wants to talk climate change, the call Steve M'Lie rather than, say, someone who knows something about the subject matter and has a record of saying things that are actually, and consistently, true.

No wonder the policy discussion on this issue is hysterical, ill-informed and woefully behind where it needs to be to sensibly address a global problem.


For a more in-depth look, check out DeSmog's comprehensive research database on the climate denial industry. 

 

Previous Comments

Shouldn’t M’Lie consider the law of holes?

Eh… the law of holes? I think he knows his own schtick pretty well:

(1) grasp at straws and shadows, and blow them up into a story that there’s a big, bigger, biggest body of `dissenting’ scientists;

(2) when the scientists put up a clarification, claim they’re just responding to Alarmist Pressure or some other similar crap;

(3) rinse, wash, repeat.

His credibility’s already in the pits with those who know what he’s up to, so he has nothing to lose anyway.

Anyway, here’s a WebCite cache of Milloy’s front page as of writing: http://www.webcitation.org/5ZR1cnFzB

-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
http://frankbi.wordpress.com/ International Journal of Inactivism
“Al `Fat Al’ Gore [is fat]” – Harold Pierce

What’s that line from MacBeth?
“I am in blood stepped in so far…”

he is thinking of the Sea of Holes in Yellow Submarine?
Fern Mackenzie

A Nowhere Man?

This item by Dr. David Evans appeared in the Australian July 18, 2008. Dr Evans was a consultant to the Australian Greenhouse Office from 1999 to 2005.

“I devoted six years to carbon accounting, building models for the Australian Greenhouse Office. I am the rocket scientist who wrote the carbon accounting model (FullCAM) that measures Australia’s compliance with the Kyoto Protocol, in the land use change and forestry sector.

FullCAM models carbon flows in plants, mulch, debris, soils and agricultural products, using inputs such as climate data, plant physiology and satellite data. I’ve been following the global warming debate closely for years.

When I started that job in 1999 the evidence that carbon emissions caused global warming seemed pretty good: CO2 is a greenhouse gas, the old ice core data, no other suspects.

The evidence was not conclusive, but why wait until we were certain when it appeared we needed to act quickly? Soon government and the scientific community were working together and lots of science research jobs were created. We scientists had political support, the ear of government, big budgets, and we felt fairly important and useful (well, I did anyway). It was great. We were working to save the planet.

But since 1999 new evidence has seriously weakened the case that carbon emissions are the main cause of global warming, and by 2007 the evidence was pretty conclusive that carbon played only a minor role and was not the main cause of the recent global warming. As Lord Keynes famously said, “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?”

There has not been a public debate about the causes of global warming and most of the public and our decision makers are not aware of the most basic salient facts:

1. The greenhouse signature is missing. We have been looking and measuring for years, and cannot find it.

Each possible cause of global warming has a different pattern of where in the planet the warming occurs first and the most. The signature of an increased greenhouse effect is a hot spot about 10km up in the atmosphere over the tropics. We have been measuring the atmosphere for decades using radiosondes: weather balloons with thermometers that radio back the temperature as the balloon ascends through the atmosphere. They show no hot spot. Whatsoever.

If there is no hot spot then an increased greenhouse effect is not the cause of global warming. So we know for sure that carbon emissions are not a significant cause of the global warming. If we had found the greenhouse signature then I would be an alarmist again.

When the signature was found to be missing in 2007 (after the latest IPCC report), alarmists objected that maybe the readings of the radiosonde thermometers might not be accurate and maybe the hot spot was there but had gone undetected. Yet hundreds of radiosondes have given the same answer, so statistically it is not possible that they missed the hot spot.

Recently the alarmists have suggested we ignore the radiosonde thermometers, but instead take the radiosonde wind measurements, apply a theory about wind shear, and run the results through their computers to estimate the temperatures. They then say that the results show that we cannot rule out the presence of a hot spot. If you believe that you’d believe anything.

2. There is no evidence to support the idea that carbon emissions cause significant global warming. None. There is plenty of evidence that global warming has occurred, and theory suggests that carbon emissions should raise temperatures (though by how much is hotly disputed) but there are no observations by anyone that implicate carbon emissions as a significant cause of the recent global warming.

3. The satellites that measure the world’s temperature all say that the warming trend ended in 2001, and that the temperature has dropped about 0.6C in the past year (to the temperature of 1980). Land-based temperature readings are corrupted by the “urban heat island” effect: urban areas encroaching on thermometer stations warm the micro-climate around the thermometer, due to vegetation changes, concrete, cars, houses. Satellite data is the only temperature data we can trust, but it only goes back to 1979. NASA reports only land-based data, and reports a modest warming trend and recent cooling. The other three global temperature records use a mix of satellite and land measurements, or satellite only, and they all show no warming since 2001 and a recent cooling.

4. The new ice cores show that in the past six global warmings over the past half a million years, the temperature rises occurred on average 800 years before the accompanying rise in atmospheric carbon. Which says something important about which was cause and which was effect.

None of these points are controversial. The alarmist scientists agree with them, though they would dispute their relevance.

The last point was known and past dispute by 2003, yet Al Gore made his movie in 2005 and presented the ice cores as the sole reason for believing that carbon emissions cause global warming. In any other political context our cynical and experienced press corps would surely have called this dishonest and widely questioned the politician’s assertion.

Until now the global warming debate has merely been an academic matter of little interest. Now that it matters, we should debate the causes of global warming.

So far that debate has just consisted of a simple sleight of hand: show evidence of global warming, and while the audience is stunned at the implications, simply assert that it is due to carbon emissions.

In the minds of the audience, the evidence that global warming has occurred becomes conflated with the alleged cause, and the audience hasn’t noticed that the cause was merely asserted, not proved.

If there really was any evidence that carbon emissions caused global warming, don’t you think we would have heard all about it ad nauseam by now?

The world has spent $50 billion on global warming since 1990, and we have not found any actual evidence that carbon emissions cause global warming. Evidence consists of observations made by someone at some time that supports the idea that carbon emissions cause global warming. Computer models and theoretical calculations are not evidence, they are just theory.

What is going to happen over the next decade as global temperatures continue not to rise? The Labor Government is about to deliberately wreck the economy in order to reduce carbon emissions. If the reasons later turn out to be bogus, the electorate is not going to re-elect a Labor government for a long time. When it comes to light that the carbon scare was known to be bogus in 2008, the ALP is going to be regarded as criminally negligent or ideologically stupid for not having seen through it. And if the Liberals support the general thrust of their actions, they will be seen likewise.

The onus should be on those who want to change things to provide evidence for why the changes are necessary. The Australian public is eventually going to have to be told the evidence anyway, so it might as well be told before wrecking the economy.”

I guess big oil got to him, eh Richard. You will note his slam at your hero, the Goreacle.

Evans has been in the wacko Lavoisier Group since at least 2007.

http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2007/07/shorter_lavoisier_workshop.php

What’s this fascination with calling old new? Maybe old is the new old.

And by the way, your “reply” was totally irrelevant to the thread topic – Milloy’s lying – and it’s just a regurgitation of an article from somewhere else. In short, it’s spam.

-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
http://frankbi.wordpress.com/ International Journal of Inactivism
“Al `Fat Al’ Gore [is fat]” – Harold Pierce

For a critique of this nonsense by honest scientists see here:

http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2008/07/the_australians_war_on_science_16.php

Ian Forrester

I like Dr. Evans’ use of careful, dispassionate, balanced language, and his insistence that everything he says is carefully supported by scientific certainty - like this:

“There is no evidence to support the idea that carbon emissions cause significant global warming. None.”

Or this: “None of these points are controversial.”

No, none, really …

“…There is no evidence to support the idea that carbon emissions cause significant global warming. None.”

And, Richard, indeed there is none. Nada, zip, zilch, which is why sane people are disinclined to agree that multi-billions of dollars should be pissed into dubious programs based on what “might” be true, “maybe”.

You can no more prove the unprovable human effect on world climate than you can “prove” that walking into the shadow of an ooga-booga tree causes blindness. Keep the faith Richard. I prefer rationality.

… that you prefer to read what you want to see, rather than what’s on the page. The quote was “no evidence,” which you decided means no “proof.”

There is evidence aplenty. Much of it is admittedly circumstantial, but a sane person would recognize that circumstantial evidence is often all that is available in the course of building a scientific theory.

So, Zog, if every time you walk under the “ooga-booga tree,” some vile baboon spits in your eye, you might reasonably conclude that good eye health would demand staying away from that damn shadow.

zog should be prepared for more than spit…heh, heh…

…Philogiston

…guys, I thought the debate was over, done with…then stumble onto this site and others, to find nothing’s settled at all. Why not take another look at some of the U.K. sentiment, and check out The Devil’s Kitchen blog:

http://devilskitchen.me.uk/.

It’s the change in terminology from “global warming” to “climate change” that got me interested in the first place…

Thank you! Thank you! I read that blog, and through that blog I was able to get a totally accurate, totally factual, totally unbiased picture of “UK sentiment”!

[x]

Life in a prison is probably not the safest environment for a person.  But for prisoners in Pennsylvania, life just got a lot more dangerous.

According to a new report, inmates at State Correctional Institution Fayette in LaBelle, Pennsylvania have been experiencing a significant increase in cancer rates.  The report, which was put together by the Abolitionist Law Center and the Human Rights Coalition,...

read more