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Tim Ball: "the First Canadian PhD in Climatology"

15 Jun 06
CLICK HERE FOR AN UPDATED BIO OF TIM BALL (FEB.05, 2007)

Friends of Science scientific advisor Dr. Tim Ball, who has been criss-crossing the country in a campaign to undermine public support for the scientific proof behind human-caused climate change, advertises himself as "the first Canadian PhD in Climatology." The FOS website boasts that, "He has an extensive background in climatology, especially the reconstruction of past climates and the impact of climate change on human history and the human condition."

This suggests an expertise in climate science that we all should take seriously. Or should we?

A search of the global database Worldcat shows two scientific books to Dr. Ball's credit. The first, from 1972, suggests direct expertise: Climate Change in Central Canada, but the subheading gives it a bit of context: A Preliminary Analysis of Weather Information from the Hudson's Bay Company Forts at York Factory and Churchill Factory, 1714-1850. As Worldcat lists just one copy of this "book" worldwide, and as that copy rests in the University of London, where Ball's PhD was granted, this is likely his thesis.

A second publication, The Significance of Grain-size and Heavy Minerals Volume Percentage as Indicators of Environmental Character, Grand Beach, Manitoba -- A Case Study, is likely a Masters thesis.

In the 34 years since he completed his thesis, a library search shows that Dr. Ball has contributed to two other books, a text, The Fundamentals of Physical Geography and what appears to be a more populist non-fiction: Eighteenth-century naturalists of Hudson Bay.

A search of the Web of Science (the best-known compendium of scientific publications worldwide, maintained by the Institute for Scientific Information) shows two peer-reviewed articles:

Historical Evidence and Climatic Implications of a Shift in the Boreal Forest Tundra Transition in Central Canada -- 1986 Instrumental Temperature Records at 2 Sites in Central Canada, 1768 TO 1910 -- 1984

These searches do not capture all of Dr. Ball's publications. He has been a busy contributor in the popular press of late, but as demonstrated elsewhere on the DeSmogBlog, in that venue, no one is holding Dr. Ball to account for the accuracy of his statements.

Compare that output to, say, one of the University of Victoria's leading researchers, Dr. Andrew J. Weaver, who has been working the field for less than half the time of Dr. Ball, but who has already published 183 papers in top, peer-reviewed journals.

Who would you believe?


"deniers"

It never ceases to amaze me that, in the absence of hard facts and data to support one's claim, one resorts to cheap tactics like name-calling ("global warming denier") and attempts at discrediting anyone who disagrees with one's faith. Yes, faith, because that's all it boils down to when it has yet to be supported by evidence. If it mattered one iota that Dr. Tim Ball or any other scientist received funding support from Exxon or Shell, it should be of equal importance that the prophet of the global warming movement David Suzuki's own foundation receives funding support from Enbridge Inc., Encana, and Atco Gas, all of which are biggies in the Canadian energy industry. Though I disagree with many of Suzuki's ill-founded claims ("2,500 scientists signed the IPCC report on February 2, 2007" – there were only 51 names, and only a handful were actual scientists, the rest of the names culled from an assortment of represenatives from governmental and non-governmental organizations working with the UN; the Suzuki Foundation does not receive corporate money - check the annual report from '05-'06, if you don't believe me; "the science is settled on the issue of global warming" - anyone who claims that science is settled obviously doesn't know the first thing about science, which is based on principles like the scientific method, which in turn relies on skepticism.) Go back to basics, people. Dig out your grade 8 science textbooks and brush up. Then find out for yourself, instead of listening to hyped-up media reports responding to nonsense being spouted by U.S. celebrities like Al Gore, who have absolutely nothing of worth (or truth) to contribute to the ongoing debate over climate change (See for example, the real cause of the melting of the glacier on Mount Kilimanjaro – deforestation around the base of the mountain, leading to drier air and thus less snow accumulation. Moreover, it's been happening since the early 1800's, long before the effects of anthropogenic global warming could have become apparent) Climate changes, people. That's what it does, with or without our help, it will continue to do so, until maybe an asteroid hits the earth wiping out human civilization and everything else for that matter. Think about it, this is a much more serious, and real, threat. No, I don't work for an oil company, but for a newspaper, and have seen firsthand how scientifically predicted ranges in possibilities (for example, global average temperature) are translated for the masses into, "by as much as" the highest estimate, even though the likelihood of it happening is less than the likelihood that the temperature will increase by the lowest estimate, which is still a pretty risky bet. Now this is basic, first-year university statistics talking. Good luck "denying" that.

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REPLY TO RITA

MY CONGRATULATIONS TO YOU RITA. YOU APPEAR TO BE ONE OF A SHRINKING NUMBER WHO HAS NOT SUCCUMBED TO THE RELIGIOUS ZEALOTRY OF THE "ANTHROPOGENIC GLOGAL WARMING" ORTHODOXY. WATCH OUT, THIS IS BECOMING LIKE THE SPANISH INQUISITION AND ALL HERETICS CAN BE BURNED AT THE STAKE. THE SCIENCE - TO THE EXTENT THAT "FINAL" CONCLUSIONS CAN EVER BE UPHELD BY TRUE SCIENCE - IS FIRMLY ON THE SIDE ON NATURAL CYCLES. ALL ICE CORE TESTS I'VE SEEN VERY CLEARLY CONFIRM THAT THE BUILD-UP OF C02 PRECEDED WARMING, NOT THE OTHER WAY AROUND. THE REASON MR. GORE'S CHART GRAPHS DIDN'T COME TOGETHER (RE: HIS SILLY COMMENT) WAS THIS VERY FACT, AND THE FACT THAT THERE IS AN APPROXIMATE 800+ YEAR LAG. A REAL UNDERSTANDING OF SHORT TERM (200 - 500 YEARS) GLOBAL WARMING IS TO BE FOUND IN A CLOSE STUDY OF THE SUN'S ACTIVITY WHILE THE ICE AGE CYCLE DEMONSTRATES WHAT IS HAPPENING IN THE MUCH LONGER RUN - PARTICULARLY WHEN CAREFULLY CONSIDERED AGAINST THE FACT THAT THE SEAS AND OCEANS ARE THE BY FAR GREATEST SOURCES OF CO2 IN OUR ATMOSPHERE. IN REALITY WE ARE ABOUT AT THE TOP OF THE WARMING PART OF THE ICE AGE CYCLE - WITH PERHAPS 400-500 YEARS TO GO - AND THEN A NEW ICE AGE. NOTHING MAN DOES WILL INFLUENCE THIS BY ANYTHING MORE THAN MERE FRACTION - IF THAT. THAT WON'T STOP THE NEW RELIGIOUS ZEALOTS WHO ADHERE TO THEIR NEW "GLOBAL WARMING" RELIGION. UNFORTUNATELY, IT IS "CHURCH" POPULATED BY THE YOUNG AND INEXPERIENCED, THE NAIVE, THE COWED - AFRAID TO OPENLY SPEAK THE TRUTH - INCLUDING, UNFORTUNATELY, MANY SCIENTISTS WHO KNOW BETTER. PERHAPS THAT WOULDN'T BE SO BAD IF THE CHURCH WERE NOT FATALLY POISONED BY HUGE REPRESENATION FROM THE WORST ELEMENTS OF THE RADICAL LEFT - NOMADIC "PROFESSIONAL" DEMONSTRATORS, PROVOCATEURS, RABBLE ROUSERS, VIOLENT MARXISTS AND THE LIKE WHO CARE ONLY FOR THE DESTRUCTION OF ADVANCED SOCIETY AS WE KNOW IT, AND CARE NOTHING ABOUT ENVIROMENTAL SCIENCE. THANK'S ALSO RITA FOR TELLING THE TRUTH ABOUT THE SO CALLED 2,500 OF THE WORLD'S TOP SCIENTISTS WHO SUPPOSEDLY SIGNED THE IPCC "SUMMARY". MORE THAN JUST A FEW OF THE ACTUAL SCIENTISTS HAVE FOUGHT TO HAVE THEIR NAMES TAKEN OFF OF IT. DOUGLAS

major correction

RE: MY REPLY TO RITA. I MUST MAKE A HUGE CORRECTION; THE STATEMENT REGARDING CO2 PRECEDING WARMING MUST BE CORRECTED TO SAY THAT "ALL ICE CORE TESTS I'VE SEEN VERY CLEARLY CONFIRM THAT WARMING PRECEDED THE BUILD-UP OF CO2, NOT THE OTHER WAY AROUND." WHAT A GARGANTUAN ERROR - CENTRAL TO THE WHOLE POINT! THAT SHOULD TEACH ME NOT TO BE ON THE PHONE AT THE SAME TIME I'M WRITING SOMETHING LIKE THIS. MY APOLOGIES, DOUGLAS

comments

Note to readers: This post was accidentally deleted. It has been restored, but the only way to add back the comments is to post them below. Please read on for the original comments.

First Climatology PhD in Submitted by Anonymous (not verified) on Wed, 07/05/2006 - 12:37.

First Climatology PhD in Canada?  Not even close.  What would cause a claim like that?  Is Canada such a backwater that 1983 would be the first PhD in anything?  Is a Geography PhD from England close enough?  His basic position as ex-University faculty or simply a citizen should be good enough.  Who would feel the need to build an imaginary peak like professor for 30 years etc., except perhaps as a great height from which to blow spatter on more legitimate thinkers.

http://scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2006/06/dear_tim_ball_sue_me.php

 

 

Publications Submitted by Brian J (not verified) on Sun, 06/25/2006 - 01:46.

I checked the ISI database myself, and found 4 peer-reviewed publications by Tim Ball. In addition to the two you mentioned, there's also:

"The migration of Geese as an indicator of climate change in the southern Hudson-Bay region between 1715 and 1851," Climatic Change 5, 85-93 (1983).

"Climate of 2 locations of the southwestern corner of Hudson-Bay -AD 1720-1729." International Journal of Climatology 14, 1151-1168 (1994).

Still a very small number, though, and all on one subject (historical climate in central Canada) unconnected to the physical causes of climate change.

TFB's thesis Submitted by eli rabett (not verified) on Sat, 06/24/2006 - 15:44.

You can find the tesis in the University of London (Queen Mary;s College) The  article in Climatic Change  looks like it came from his thesis. The date on the thesis is 1983 not 1972 (?). http://tinyurl.com/fw8j7 

First Ph.D in anything

Couple of additional points on Dr. Ball. A Ph.D degree, technically speaking is not issued in any field. A scholar must have a significant area of research, but it is not specified or conferred with the degree. So saying you are the first Ph.D. IN anything is vacuous at best and misleading at worst. Second - in addition to the great work done here, digging up Dr. Ball's meagre scholarly output, I would add that the University where he taught, University of Winnepeg, offers no graduate science programs of any kind. It only confers 4 graduate degrees: Masters of Theology and 3 joint Masters Degrees (with University of Manitoba) in Public Administration, Religion and History. The university has 4 research chairs in Forest Ecology, Canadian History, Canadian-German Studies and Urban Studies. In its history, University of Winnepeg has been granted 4 Canadian Research Chairs. One of the universities current holders of a Canadian Research Chair in Dendrochronology, Dr. Jacques Tardif does actually study climate change and is well published (38 publications in the last 12 years). But then, he is not a climate change denier, and no where on his website does he list Dr. Ball as a mentor nor has he ever coauthored any publications with Dr. Ball. From this it is pretty safe to say that Dr. Ball has spent the majority of his academic career teaching basic science to undergrads. In a nutshell, his scholarly accomplishments are few and that which he has accomplished is not highly regarded by his peers.

This posting by Don

This posting by Don demonstrates the lengths to which people are willing to go to denigrate someone that doesn't agree with them. This is nearly as bad as a headline stating, "Inflated Credentials". So from what I see, personal attacks to discredit others is the NEW and IMPROVED scientific method.