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Clearing the PR Pollution that Clouds Climate Science

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Wall Street Journal: Check your facts - and then ignore them entirely

The Wall Street Journal has stepped forward - to no one's particular surprise - and declared that the world is uncertain about climate change, basing this conclusion on the work of a sloppy denier who still has the integrity to say that is NOT the case.

The WSJ article, by an opinion writer named Anne Jolis, lauds the work of Stephen McIntyre, the retired mining stock promoter and the denial industry's favourite statistician. Entitled "Revenge of the Climate Layman," the piece argues that McIntyre's criticism of sundry "hockey stick graphs" are relevant and somehow indicative that the whole theory of climate change is on shakey ground.

"Yet," says the WSJ's Jolis, "Mr. McIntyre is first to admit his work is no bullet aimed at the heart of the theory of man-made climate change."

How could Jolis have become so confused? Well, because she never had any intention of listening to anyone who would offer a reasoned response to her delusional preferred vision of the world.

This has been painfully evident over the last few weeks, as Jolis has been nosing around, begging attention and quotes from Michael Mann, the RealClimate proprietor and Director of Pennsylvania State University's Earth System Science Center, and then Keith Briffa, Professor at the Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich.

Mann was the leading contributor to the iconic "hockey stick graph" that has become a cause celebre, entirely because of McIntyre's first attack, a statistical quibble which might actually have proved helpful if it had been offered in a spirit of scientific collaboration and goodwill. Alas, none of either prevails. McIntyre, with the help of the Fraser Institute economist Ross McKitrick, attacked Mann personally and repeatedly, setting fire to a controversy that has raged on for years and that culminated in a kangaroo court kind of hearing in the Senate Committee of Environment and Public works, when that committee was still under the control of Republican Senator James Inhofe.

McIntyre has enjoyed a certain amount of fame since, a condition that flared up a month or so when McIntyre started criticizing a climate reconstruction graph built by Keith Briffa - another "hockey" stick shaped image. (Both Briffa and Mann hockey sticks are represented in the tiny graph above. You will not, primarily, that they are no different than any of the other reconstructions that have been assembled by excellent scientists around the world, several more of which are also represented here.)

McIntyre did two things, neither particularly forgivable. He cherry picked data to try to prove Briffa's original graph to be incorrect. And then he accused Briffa of withholding information that he, McIntyre, already had in his possession.

When Jolis started inquiring about this fresh disagreement, a long series of people answered her queries, patiently and at length. I know this because Mann copied a group of people on his original response and several of those on the list weighed in, including me. Jolis undoubtedly got a great deal more information than she could use, much of it incredibly polite and detailed, some of it slightly more combative and a small amount fully withering. But Keith Briffa's commentary was extensive and extraordinarily patient.

By the evidence of her column, Jolis declined to read any of it. She ignored McIntyre's manipulations. She ignored the newer, fuller dataset that Briffa had prepared. She ignored McIntyre's own caution that his work does NOT convincingly counter the threat of climate change. Then she settled into the conclusion that, apparently, was her starting and end point: uncertainty reigns.

The single piece of information in her article that appears faithfully reported is the Pew Center study showing that the number of Americans who believe humans are causing climate change has dropped in the last 18 months from 71 per cent to 57 per cent. Given this level of intrepid and determined journalistic incompetence, is it any wonder?

What's next?

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#708841
RalphNader. +1; Wed, 2009-11-18 12:49; Big Oil

This one is tough. I give up. How is Steve Mccyntyre a retired businessman motivated by big oil to lie to us all? Does he have a gas burning fireplace, doesn't have a bike but uses a car? He did a stellar job in pointing out deceptive scientific practices that we're used by the IPCC. Is it time to accept science that doesn't conform to pre-existing global warming dogma or do we still hold to our steadfast religious beliefs and try to discredit anyone as a heritic who presents new scientific evidence?

Strategy here? Can someone put a tail on macytyre and see if he cheats on his wife, beats his dog or is addicted to sniffing cheap gasoline? To keep the movement alive we're going to have to discredit this man at all costs!

#708846
RickJames. +1; Wed, 2009-11-18 14:04; Holy Conflict, Batman

McIntyre is a a climate celebrity or at least a climate name so in my view of the world I have no choice but to list him as having a sort of conflict of interest that one must not forget.

Not unlike any given book writer who might dig into climate issues.

#708850
Dennis W.. +1; Wed, 2009-11-18 14:31; Basic Education Needed

No one should be surprised that the WSJ would publish such nonsense on its oped pages. It's par for the course on the opinion side in what is otherwise a good newspaper. More surprising today was the NYT's nonsensical piece on Benjamin Franklin and Global Warming. How are we to get the basic scientific facts out to the general public, when an article like that is written? Franklin was an excellent scientist for his time, but he'd been dead for more than 3 decades before the greenhouse effect was even discovered. Oh, well -- just me ranting a complaint about another highly visible piece that fails to get the right message across to the scientfically illiterate.

#708861
Dan Olner. +1; Thu, 2009-11-19 01:37; FUD

The thing I love about the McIntyre stuff is that, even if everything he said was true, it wouldn't change the overall scientific conclusions. Plenty of other analyses show C20th warming to be anomalous. But that doesn't matter - it's a trick that works. Keep on casting doubt on some apparent central plank of the science, and the rest of it gets tainted. I'm not sure one needs him to be a shill - he's probably just enjoying the stardom. After all, a huge section of the world think of him as some new Galileo. (And all those other 'consensus' scientists as a nasty 18th century Catholic Church-like conspiracy of secret tax-hikers.)

#708866
shooshmon. +1; Thu, 2009-11-19 05:35; THE OVERALL CONCLUSIONS ARE ASSUMPTIONS

who cares about their conclusions, you can't test them. Its been hotter and there has been more co2 in the atmosphere and you will never be able to reconcile this painful fact, Olner.

#708890
Dan Olner. +1; Fri, 2009-11-20 09:08; Eh?

I'm not sure if you're saying I do believe co2 causes global warming or that I don't believe that. Did you read my post or just get as far as "I love McIntyre..." ? :)

About the climate cover-up

About the climate cover-up

Democracy is utterly dependent upon an electorate that is accurately informed. In promoting climate change denial (and often denying their responsibility for doing so) industry has done more than endanger the environment. It has undermined democracy.

There is a vast difference between putting forth a point of view, honestly held, and intentionally sowing the seeds of confusion. Free speech does not include the right to deceive. Deception is not a point of view. And the right to disagree does not include a right to intentionally subvert the public awareness.

Although all public relations professionals are bound by a duty to not knowingly mislead the public, some have executed comprehensive campaigns of misinformation on behalf of industry clients on issues ranging from tobacco and asbestos to seat belts.

Lately, these fringe players have turned their efforts to creating confusion about climate change. This PR campaign could not be accomplished without the compliance of media as well as the assent and participation of leaders in government and business.

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